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Home International

PM Renzi’s Future In the Balance

December 4, 2016
in International
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Italians are voting in a referendum which is being closely watched for further signs of anti-establishment sentiment in Europe.

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The vote, called by centre-left Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, is on plans to streamline parliament but is expected to be used by many as a chance to register discontent.

Populist parties have campaigned for a “no” vote and Mr Renzi has said he will resign if he loses.

Opinion polls suggest he faces defeat.

A “no” vote for Mr Renzi would follow the UK’s vote in June to leave the European Union, as well as the rise of the anti-immigrant Front National in France and populist parties elsewhere, along with Donald Trump’s unexpected victory in the US presidential election.

The “no” campaign in Italy has been spearheaded by the the anti-establishment Five Star Movement, led by Beppe Grillo. It wants a referendum on whether Italy should keep the euro.

The Five Star Movement and the anti-immigrant Northern League would receive a boost from the prime minister’s defeat.

Many voters are fed up with years of economic stagnation.

But the possibility of Mr Renzi, 41, falling from power has reignited concerns about financial stability in the eurozone’s third largest economy.

The reforms include reducing the power of the senate. Its members would be cut from 315 to 100 with most drawn from mayors and regional representatives.

Why Italy’s vote matters

Italy referendum: Renzi risks populist wave

Should leaders fear Austria-Italy backlash?

Mr Renzi says the reforms would speed up the cumbersome law-making process in Italy, which has seen 60 governments since 1948.

Opponents say the proposals would concentrate too much power in the prime minister’s hands.

Some 50 million Italians have the right to vote in the referendum. An opinion poll in November gave the “no” vote a lead of at least five percentage points. But many Italians are thought to be still undecided.

If Mr Renzi does lose, it is still not entirely certain that he will be out of power.

President Sergio Mattarella could ask him to form a new government or appoint a technocratic prime minister to serve until elections due in 2018.

Voting began on Sunday at 07:00 (06:00 GMT) and ends at 23:00, with results expected early on Monday.

What Renzi wants to do:

Reduce the power of the second chamber of parliament, the Senate, which is currently equal to the Chamber of Deputies

Cut the number of Senators from 315 to 100 and strip the Senate of the right to hold votes of no confidence in the government

End elections to Senate and fill it with 21 regional mayors, 74 regional council heads and five other members selected by the president

Reformists say this would cut the cost of politics by €500m (£430m; $530m) a year and speed up lawmaking by ending decades of parliamentary ping pong

Referendum text:

Do you approve the text of the Constitutional Law on ‘Provisions for exceeding the equal bicameralism, reducing the number of MPs, the containment of operating costs of the institutions, the suppression of the CNEL and the revision of Title V of Part II of the Constitution’ approved by Parliament and published in the Official Gazette n° 88 of 15 April 2016?

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Tags: austriaBeppe Grillocentre-left Prime Ministercumbersome law-making processDonald TrumpElectionseuropeEuropean UnionfranceFront NationalitalyLega NordMaria Elena BoschiMatteo RenziNorthern LeaguepoliticsPolitics of ItalypresidentPresidential electionPrime MinisterRenziRenzi CabinetsenateSergio MattarellaStar Movementtechnocratic prime ministerthe Official GazetteUnited KingdomUnited StatesUS Federal Reserve

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